Turnbull wins – survives leadership spill

Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull has narrowly survived a leadership spill against Home Affairs Minister Peter Dutton by 48 to 35 votes after a sudden challenge on Tuesday morning.

There are unconfirmed reports Mr Dutton has resigned as Home Affairs Minister.

The result is being seen as a "first strike" against the Prime Minister with a margin of victory that gives his enemies hope of gaining more numbers for a second attempt at the leadership.

The leadership was declared vacant within minutes of the Liberal MPs gathering in Parliament House for their regular meeting on Tuesday morning, triggering a vote.

"The result of that ballot was Malcolm Turnbull was elected leader of the Liberal Party by 48 votes to 35 with Peter Dutton as the alternative candidate," said the party whip, Nola Marino.

"There was also an election for the deputy leader. Julie Bishop was the one person who nominated for that role and she is the deputy leader of the Liberal Party."

Mr Turnbull took the decision to declare the leadership vacancy in order to force his enemies to come out into the open.

One of Mr Turnbull's supporters described the decision to bring on the vote as a "gutsy call" that worked to defeat his opponent.

As the Prime Minister's camp expected, the conservatives within the party room and many Queensland MPs voted for Mr Dutton.

The margin of victory for Mr Turnbull, 13 votes, compares to his spill against Tony Abbott in September 2015 when he won by a margin of 10 votes, 54 to 44.

Another of the Prime Minister's supporters said that showed Mr Turnbull had increased his margin as leader in the party room and would have gained a stronger victory if another ally, Arthur Sinodinos, had been able to attend.

EARLIER

Malcolm Turnbull has declared the leadership of the Liberal party vacant, clearing the way for a vote on his leadership.

The prime minister entered the party room with his deputy Julie Bishop amid speculation about his leadership.

The likely challenger, Peter Dutton, attended a leadership meeting with Mr Turnbull earlier on Tuesday.

Despite Mr Turnbull's capitulation to energy policy rebels in his ranks, the expectation his leadership is under threat has grown.

Backers of Mr Dutton, the conservatives' standard-bearer, insist his support levels are building rapidly.

But cabinet minister Christopher Pyne said earlier Mr Dutton had told him the prime minister has his absolute support.

"I'm certain he is telling the truth," he told the Nine Network.

Mr Pyne described his Liberal colleagues stoking leadership tensions as "cowards".

"I think the public would react very negatively to another change of leadership without them having a vote."

A report in The Australian suggests Mr Turnbull has lost confidence of nine Liberal cabinet ministers - half of the Liberal contingent - and Mr Dutton could move as early as Tuesday to challenge.

But the home affairs minister could instead wait until parliament resumes in September.

Mr Dutton's camp believes it could get to the 43 votes needed to oust Mr Turnbull, but the prime minister's backers says he still had majority partyroom support.

Fellow MPs from Mr Dutton's home state of Queensland are also understood to have been encouraged to turn on Mr Turnbull.

Small Business Minister Craig Laundy warns that would go down like a lead balloon.

"If we are fighting amongst ourselves, guess what, when the voters go to the election, they'll mark us down as they should," Mr Laundy said.

"They want us to know that we should be concentrating on the things that are important to them."

Liberal backbencher Tim Wilson acknowledged the numbers were being counted in the party room.

"I don't actually expect a challenge today, but we'll wait and see," he told the ABC on Tuesday.

Mr Turnbull told reporters earlier on Monday he had the confidence of Mr Dutton, the cabinet and the partyroom.

Adding to the prime minister's woes are a string of poor poll results.

The coalition has lagged Labor in 38 successive Newspolls, eight more than Tony Abbott's record. However, Mr Turnbull has consistently rated higher than Bill Shorten as preferred prime minister.

Labor frontbencher Anthony Albanese said the prime minister should call an election, if he survives the week.

"I think that would be a good thing for the nation, because something has to change, this is chaos in the parliament at the moment," Mr Albanese told Sky News.

Australian Associated Press, Fairfax Media